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Writtenbytestudoetlepus

March8th,2012at11:38pm

PostedinChange,EndofEmpire,Fraud

TaggedwithCongress,fascistbankerscoupd'etat,GeneralDempsey,InternationalPermission,Iran,LeonPanetta,Libya,Militaryaction,SenatorJeffSessions,sovereigncountries,Syria,TheConsititution,treason,USmilitary,WarPowersAct

BobChapman:OnTheNationalIntelReport–February21,2012 withoutcomments

WithJohnStadtmiller

VincentFinellijoinsJohnandBobinthefirsthourandRobbyNoeldropsinforhourtwo.TheyexplainunemploymentrealitiesinAmerica,andthedamagecausedtotheeconomybythebankingindustry.Thesecondhourfocusesoncallercommentsandquestions,withtopicsrangingfrompoliticalactiontostockinvestments,plusaclipfromCSPANwithcommentaryonterrorismandtheunderwearbomber.JohnclosessolotopresentanupdateconcerningsanctionsagainstIran.

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BobChapman–TheNationalIntelReportwithJohnStadtmiller2012.02.21

[BobChapmanTheInternationalForecasterBlog]

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

February22nd,2012at11:59pm

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire,Fraud,InflationorDeflation

Taggedwithbanking,bobchapman,gold,Iran,JohnStadtmiller,RobbyNoel,silver,terrorism,TheEconomy,TheInternationalForecaster,TheNationalIntelReport,theunderwearbomber,unemployment,VincentFinelli

Russia&ChinaWillNotDefendIran withoutcomments

February9,2012
JoelSkousenjoinsDr.MonteithonRadioLiberty.Joelsaysthatwewon’tseeadevaluationofcurrencyandahyperinflationscenariointhecomingyearsbecausethePowersThatBecanstillcreatealotofmoneywhilemaintainingalowinflationratesbecausethemoneytheycreateresidesonlyinthebankscomputersandhardlyeverhitsthemarketsandhencedoesnotimpactthemanonthestreetandthepricesofgoodsunlessthegovernmentdecidestostartwritingbailoutchecksforeveryhousehold,JoelalsotalksabouttheimpedingwarwithIranstatingthatitisunlikelythatwewillseeChinaorRussiatakingthesideofIranincaseofaNATOattackagainstthiscountry…..

<ahref="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XdKG5w1nQqM?hl=en"><imgsrc="http://www.gtaero.net/ytmusic/play.png"alt="Play"style="border:0px;"/></a>


|Download1sthour|


|Download2ndhour|

[GCN-RadioLibertyPodcast]

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Writtenbytestudoetlepus

February14th,2012at6:00pm

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire,Fraud

TaggedwithChina,currency,devaluation,Dr.StanMonteith,hyperinflation,Iran,JoelSkousen,NATO,Russia

TailEvents,Isolation,NewNormal withoutcomments

byJimWillie

Theyear2012hasstartedoutinstrangeways.Whilecelestialforcesaugurforraretailevents,theassuranceofman-madeeventsthatstretchfarintotheextremetailofprobabilityarenotonlyverylikelybutwillbeofatypetoreflectthechangeintheglobalbalanceoffinancialpower.TheParadigmShiftmentionedoverthecourseofthelasttwotothreeyearsisatwork,havingmovedintoahighergear.ThegoldismovingfromtheWesttotheEast,alongwiththepower.Wewillnotseetheprocessreverseinourlifetime.ThesanctionssetagainstIranhavebeendevisedbyaformergloballeadernationthatisbesetbyinsolvency,fraud,andlostintegrity.ThebackfirehasconsolidatedforcesintoamorefortifiedpositionagainsttheUSDollar.TradeincreasinglyisnotbeingsettledinUS$terms.Theiconsofthedayaremereapologistpublicaddresssystemsattemptingtorationalizeandjustifythedeepinsolvencyandwreckedsystems.Thenewnormalisofacaravanfileofbrokencarsandtruckssputteringdowntheroad,usingthefalsefuelofhypermonetaryinflationandtheoffensivepaintofphonyfinancialaccounting,thetell-talesignbeingtheuglyrancidsmokeoutoftheirtailpipes.ThelastinsultisoftheUSPresidentialelectionprocess,whichisbadlymarredbyobviousinconsistenciesandanomalies.Thevotecountforthecandidatethatattractsthebiggestcrowds,attractsthebiggestdonationsfromcorporations,anddefiesthefinanciallyteeteringsystemdoesnotmatchthefinalofficialtallies.

PREPAREFORRAREDAMAGEOFTAILEVENTS
Intheprobabilityworld,ataileventisdescribedasanoccurrencefaroutinthesmallnumbersofprobability,extendedonthetailofthecurveoflikelihood.Inthequalitycontroldomain,thebattlecryusedtobeSixSigma,meaningthetolerateddefectrategoalwouldbesixstandarderrors,arateinnowayachievable.Aquickcheckoftheprobabilitytablesunmaskstheloftygoalasonedefectpartofftheassemblylineinevery1.013billionitems.ThatisSixSigmaonthenormalbell-shapedcurve.However,intheworldofphonyfinagledfinance,suchrareeventsareindeedoccurring.Themodernworldhasneverseensuchgrotesquecharredrampartsposingasfinancialstructures,badlybesetbytheinsolvencycausedbythenaturalsequenceofbrokenassetbubbles,aggravatedbyabsentindustry.Infact,theentirefiatcurrencysystem,wheremoneyisnothingbutredefineddebt,isanabominationdestinedfortheruinweseeonsuchatragicwidespreadlevel.Themodernworldhasneverseensuchgrotesquehousingdisasters,thedreamofhomeownershipturnedupsidedown,onequarterofAmericanhouseholdsowingmorethanthevalueoftheirhomes.Infact,theentirehousingdependencedevisedbyGreenspan,wheretheUSEconomywouldleannotonindustrybutonrisinghomeequity,servesasthecallingcardofcentralbankheresy.TheheresycontinueswiththehighpriestZIRPandbishopQE.Ofcourseitendedintears.Themodernworldhasneverseensuchgrotesquequicksandinsovereigndebtforsomanymajornations.ThisgoesfarbeyondGreece,Ireland,andPortugal,thesymbolsofsmallfrynationsthatfewnationswillmakedeepsacrificefor.Infact,asthesovereigndebtspreads,ithasbecomeclearthatItaly,Spain,France,andmanyothernationssufferfromthesinkingpressuresthatnationalsecuritizeddebtbrings.Asthesovereigndebtlosesvalue,thebankingsystemshedsreservesvaluationandgoesinsolvent,thecreditenginesstall,theeconomyfallsintorecession,thelaborforcelosesjobs,thespendingpatternsfalter,andthenationgoesintoafailuremode.SeetheCauchydistributioninthegraphic,whichwhenthedegreesoffreedomgrowunbounded,approachestheGaussiannormal.

Someimportanttaileventsofraretypearecoming.AnyattemptstocontrolaGreekGovtBonddefaultwillbefraughtwithhighriskanddeepperil.TheequalnecessitytocontroladefaultforIrelandandPortugalwillbemadeobvious.TheextensiontoItalianandSpanishGovtBondlossesincollateraldamagewillbeobvious.TheimplicationstoCreditDefaultSwapsmustalsobehandled,notpossibleinthesamefraudulentmannerasbeforewithredefinitionsanddeniedinsuranceawards.ThecontagionofvanishedequityinthebankingsystemwillspreadtoLondon,NewYork,andGermany,inwhosenationsnumerousbankswillfail.ItwillbeextremelydifficultfortheUSDollartowardoffsuchpowerfulstormdamage,andremainastheglobalreservecurrency.Somedistantmaritimevoicesmightregardmyclaimsasprematureandfar-fetched,buttheirpreoccupationwithgoldbasishaslefttheirvoicesmerereverberantrichochetsinthehinterland.Theacademicvoicesseemoutoftouchwithtrends,theloudlapsontherocksfromwavesofinflationhardlyrecognizedfortheirdamagefromtheremoteseacoast.TheyseemunabletoforeseethenewfoundlandthatisformingintheEast,divorcedfromtheUSDollar.

Readtherestofthisentry»

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

January27th,2012at5:34pm

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,Fraud,InflationorDeflation

TaggedwithBrazil,China,CME,comex,default,federalreserve,fiatcurrencysystem,gold,goldmansachs,hypermonetaryinflation,Iran,JimWillie,JPMorgan,MortgageContractfraud,NewtGingrich,oil,OPEC,ParadigmShift,Portugal,probability,RonPaul,Russia,silver,SouthKorea,stolenelections,tailevent,TARP,TheHatTrickLetter,TimothyGeithner,votefraud

BobChapman:AllThoseShipsInTheStraightofHormuzAreAGame withoutcomments

BobChapmanOnTheJamesCorbettShow–January23,2012.

TheIlluminushavealicensetosteal…allthoseshipsinthestraightofHormuzareagametodeflectthinkingofthefinancialproblemsinEuropewhicharebeingusedasacoverofthefinancialproblemsintheUS.

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JamesCorbett

BobChapman:allthoseshipsinthestraightofHormuzareagame

[BobChapmanTheInternationalForecasterBlog.

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

January24th,2012at2:09am

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire,Fraud

Taggedwithbanks,bobchapman,comex,financialcollapse,gold,Hormuz,Iran,JamesCorbett,silver,TheInternationalForecaster

JimWillie:ChinaHasStatedAU.S.AttackOnIranWillResultInAChineseMilitaryResponse withoutcomments

January16,2012|ByTekoaDaSilva|

AJimWillieInterview

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IonceagainhadthechancetospeakwithJimWillie,publisherofTheHatTrickLetter,foundoveratGoldenJackass.com.Itwasquiteafascinatinginterviewcoveringgold,theShanghaiCooperationOrganization(SCO),theweakeningglobalU.S.dollarinfrastructure,andspecialattentionwaspaidtotherecentbankingsanctionsleviedagainstIranbytheUnitedStates.

AccordingtoJim,U.S.sanctionsagainstIranaren’tsosingle-facetedanymore.OthercountriesarebeginningtodefyU.S.sanctionsinordertoprotecttheirownnationalsecurityinterests.Jimcommentswere,“What’shappeningbehindthescenesisthatnationsarecomingtothestagewithIran,sidebyside,andsaying,‘We’regoingtocontinuedoingtrade.WewantIranianoil.WewantotherIranianproducts,andwewillcontinuedoingtrade’…Therearesomeprettyuglythingsgoingonagainstthatcountry[U.S.sanctions],andtherearesomeprettyuglythingsgoingoninsidethatcountry.”

RegardingthegrowingimportanceandpoliticalcloutofSCO,Jimsaid,“TheShanghaiCooperativeOrganizationisreallyquietfascinating.Itstartedaskindofahumble,offbeatculturalexchangeprogrambetweenoldsovietrepublicsandtheirneighboringcountrieslikeChina…Therepublicswantedtomaintainrelations,andthenbeforeyouknowit,they’restartingtotalkaboutsecuritymatters…andthentheysay‘letsstarthavingsomeguestscountries[joinus]likeIndia,Iran,andVenezuela.’”

Commentingfurther,Jimsaid,“Inabout2008-09,itseemedlikeSCOwentdark.Butitdidn’tstop…IbelievethatRussiaandChinamadeadecisiontokeeptheSCOmovementgoingbutkeepquietaboutit.Whattheystartedtodowasdevelopthenon-dollarmechanismsfortradesettlement.YoustartedtoseeChinaannouncewithBrazilthattheyweregoingtodotradewiththeRealandtheYuan–nomoreU.S.dollars.ThenyoustartedseeingotherfacilitiesopeninguplikeChinaandRussiaannouncingtheirtradingwillnolongerbeinthedollar.”

WhatthisallmeansineconomictermsaccordingtoJimisthat,“They’reworkingtodevelopthearteriesofafinancialsystemthatisnotdollar-centric.”

ThiswasanothersoberinginterviewwithJimWillie,andgiventheheighteninggeopoliticaltensionsworldwide,hiscommentscannotbetakenlightly.

InterviewalsopostedtoourYouTubeChannel

TolearnmoreaboutJimandtheHatTrickLetter,visit:GoldenJackass.com

Enjoytheinterview?PleasesupportthesitebyjoiningourFreeMailingListandsharingthisURLpagelinkwithfriends,family,andyourfavoritechatforum.

Thanks,
Tekoa

ExclusiveInterview–JimWillie:“ChinaHasStatedAU.S.AttackOnIranWillResultInAChineseMilitaryResponse”

BullMarketThinking

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

January17th,2012at5:15am

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire,Fraud,InflationorDeflation

TaggedwithChina,gold,GoldenJackass.com,India,Iran,Israel,JimWillie,Obama,Russia,ShanghaiCooperationOrganization,silver,TekoaDaSilva,TheHatTrickLetter,U.SDollar,UnitedStates

WhatGives? withoutcomments

byJamesHowardKunstler

Theawesomeexertionsoftheglobalbankingsystemtoevadethemandatesofrealityfinallyyieldinasickeningslippagetoepochalunwind.Whatabadidea:totrytojukenatureitself.Incaseyouweren’tpayingattentionovertheweekend–andwhoreallywantsto?–thecosmicBrinkstruckoffreemoneywentoveracliff,andthedarnthingwillkeepfree-fallinguntil(atleast)theAmericanmarketsopenagainonTuesday.

So,everybodyandhisuncleoverinEuropegotasovereigndebtdowngradeandnowthemathchangesforallthepretendbail-outsandback-stopsthathadbeensoexquisitelyriggedthroughthelong,nauseatingautumn.Mathisanannoyingrepresentationofreality,buthardtoarguewith.Bail-outsandback-stopsfinallybecameunaffordableevenaspoeticconstructs.

Thus,wealsoapproachthedreadedinflectionpointforthecreditdefaultswaps.NobodybelievesthatthisMountEverestofjivebond“insurance”canactuallypayout,sincethefirstinstanceofanyattemptwillbankrupteverybody.Andyettherearetheholdersofallthatpaperwhowillobjectto,say,an80percenthaircutontheirGreek(andother)bonds.SurelysomeofthemwilltrytoinvoketheirCDScontracts.Whatthen?ThreepossibilitiesthatIsee:1)allpartiesandcounter-partiesgodownthedrainfasterthanyoucansayBenedictCumberbatch;2)allpartiesdeclareinunisonthatCDSwereaprankthatshouldnowjustbeignored,asifthecastofDowntonAbbeyshowedupnakedatthedinnertable;and3)everysortofloanonGod’sGreenEarthisinstantlyre-pricedandtheentireworldturnsintoafleamarket.HowwillAmericadowithitsstockofslightlypre-ownedDunkin’Donutsstores,amillion-oddElvislunch-boxes,andallthoseoldvideosofFriends?Don’tyouwishyou’dinvestedinsomehandtools?

InthebackgroundofthesegravemachinationslurksthetragedyofIran.SubtracttheIslamicmaniacswhoseizedtheleversofgovernmenttherethirty-threeyearsago,andyou’dactuallyfindaperfectlymodernsociety,completewithindustries,skyscrapers,highways,TV shows,andpeopleeatingnicefoodinrestaurants.OnecanunderstandwhythelastShahwashatedandresented.ButhereyounowhaveawholeclassofdespoticmaniacsmuchworsethantheShaheverwasandtheycannotbegottenridof.Worse,theyaredevotedtoexactingvengeanceontheUSAanditskindredwesternnations.

Thismaybejustatragiccaseofcollectivepsychologicalscripting,butitistendinginthedirectionofafull-dressplay-out.Ourgovernmentbelievesthattheirgovernmentisdeterminedtobuildanatomicbomb.Iran’sgovernmentsays,overandover,“…whatanidea…!”Thetroubleis,ourguysdon’tbuytheirvaudevilleact.Theywillnotbeallowedtohaveabomb,andthat’sallthereistoit.Wearedoingeverythingshortofall-outwartopreventit,butlet’sfaceit,alotofthesethingscouldbeconstruedasactsofwar:Stuxnetattacks…blowingupnuclearscientistsintheircars.Thesethingsaremakingalready-crazypeopleevencrazier,andmorereckless.

IfeventscontinuedownthispaththentherewillbesomeactioninthePersianGulf.Theoilmarketswillbethrownintodisarray.IranmaysinkaUSnavelvesselortwo,butweknowabouttheirsunburnmissilesandwewon’tputthewholefleetinharm’sway,andbeforetoolongwewillfuckthemupverybadly.TheIraniansarecapableofbustingupalotstuffintheirneighborhoodevenastheirairforceisvaporizedandtheirelectricgridgoesdown.TheycouldlaunchmissilesintotheSaudiArabianoilterminals,forinstance.SurelytheywilltrytorainhelldownonIsrael.ThatwouldbearecipeforturningTeheranintoanashtrayandaterribletragedyforthoseotherwisenormalIranianswhoarenotreligiousmaniacswhowantednothingmorethantoraisetheirchildrenandonceinawhilegooutforanicelambdinner.

Idon’tseeanypercentageinChinaandRussiacomingintothisrumble,thoughmorethanacoupleofEuropeannationsmaywanttoforgettheirtroublesforamomentand,atleast,cheerleadfromthesidelines.

Theresultofallthis–iftheactiondoesn’tgettotallyout-of-hand–issuretobeagiganticstepdowninworldwideenergyconsumption,trade,andadvancedeconomicactivity.ItwouldmaketheGreatDepressionlooklikeasit-com.TheAmericansuburbannexuswouldfailinamatterofweeks.TheUSAwouldhavetocommencethegreatestwork-aroundtheworldhaseverseen.Intheevent,governmentseverywhereareliabletofall,evenhere,withelectionspostponed.Therewillbelittleinthewayofrealmoneytorepairallthethingsthatarefallingapart.

Mostamazingofallishowquiettheworldscenehasbeen,really,since2001.Thebuildupoftensionsmustbeout-of-thisworld.Somethinghadtogive.

____________________________________

Mybooksareavailableatalltheusualplaces.

     

WhatGives

[ClusterfuckNation]

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

January16th,2012at11:54pm

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire,Fraud

TaggedwithCDScontracts,China,collectivepsychologicalscripting,Europe,financialmarkets,GreatDepression,Greece,Iran,JamesHowardKunstler,oilmarkets,ratingsdowngrades,Russia

TheNetworksofNations withoutcomments

MilitarytheoristJohnArqillaoffersaprovocativepieceinForeignPolicy.

The(B)endofHistory

….Howthenewpatternwillunfoldisstillunclear,butjustasthefirstnation-stateswereoftentemptedtobecomeempires,theremaybeapatterninwhichnationsandnetworkssomehowseektofuseratherthanfight.Iran,initsrelationswithHezbollah,providesperhapsthebestexampleofanationembracingandnurturinganetwork.Somuchsothat,inparsingthe2006LebanonwarbetweenIsraelandHezbollah,mostoftheworld—andmostIsraelis—counteditasawinforthenetwork.China,too,hasshownaskillandaproclivityforinvolvingitselfwithnetworks,whetherofhackers,high-seapirates,oroperativeswhoflowalongthemanytendrilsoftheAsiantriads’criminalenterprises.Theattractionmaybemutual,asnationsmayfeelmoreempoweredwithnetworksintheirarsenalsandnetworksmaybefarmorevibrantandresilientwhenbackedbyanation.Allthissetsthestageforaworldthatmayhave10alQaedasoperating10yearsfromnow—manyofthemindarkallianceswithnations—asuresignthattheColdWar–eraarmsracehasgivenwaytoanew“organizationalrace”tobuildoralignwithnetworks.

Can’tsaythatIdisagreewiththatinbigpictureterms.Lookinglongtermto2100,IwroteinThreatsintheAgeofObamathatthegeopoliticalpositionofnation-stateswouldundergoatransformation.

….Nation-statesinthe21stcenturywillfaceacomplexinternationalecosystemofplayersratherthanjustthesocietyofstatesenvisionedbytraditionalRealpolitik.IfthepredictionsofferedbyseriousthinkerssuchasRayKurzweill,FredIkleorJohnRobbprovetrue,thentechnologicalbreakthroughswillensuretheemergenceof“SuperempoweredIndividuals”[1]onasizablescaleinthenearfuture.Atthatmoment,therelianceoftheStateonits’punitivepowersasaweaponoffirstresortcomestoanend.Superemepoweredindividuals,separatistgroups,insurgentsandan“opting-out”citizenrywillnibblerecalcitrantandunpopularstatestodeath,hollowingthemoutandtransferringtheirallegianceelsewhere.

Whilesuccessfulstateswillretainpunitivepowers,theirprimaryfocuswillbecomeattractingfollowersandclientsinwhomtheycangenerateintenseoratleastdependable,loyaltyandleverageasanetworkedsystemtopursuenationalinterests.Thisrepresentsashiftfromworldviewofenforcementtooneofempowerment,coordinationandcollaboration.Stateswillbeforcedtonarrowtheirscopeofactivityfromtryingtosuperviseeverythingtoflexiblyprovidingorfacilitatingcoreservices,platforms,rule-setsandopportunities–criticalpublicgoods–thattheprivatesectororsocialgroupscannoteasilyreplicateorreplace.Outsideofavitalcoreofactivity,thestatebecomesanarbiteramongthelesser,interdependent,quasi-autonomous,powerstowhichitisconnected..

Statesandtheiroligarchicelitesseemtobeattemptingtocounterthistrendoferodingomnipotencebyincreasingomnisciencebybuildingpanopticonsocietiesof24hoursurveillence.Rulerswill(theoretically)havetheawarenesstostrikefirstandbreakupoppositionmovementsordissentbeforetheycancrystallizeandgainthecriticalmasstooverthrowaregimeoraccumulateenoughcountervailingpowertoforceconcessionsorhonestnegotiationinplaceofstage-managed,politicalkabukitheater.

TheNetworksofNations

[zenpundit.com.

Writtenbytestudoetlepus

January16th,2012at1:14pm

PostedinChange,EconomicCollapse,EndofEmpire

TaggedwithAdamSmith,criminalenterprises,hackers,high-seapirates,insurgents,Iran,Israel,networks,oligarchicelites,panopticonsocieties,separatistgroups,Superemepoweredindividuals,WealthofNations,“opting-out”citizenry

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