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The Larry Taylor Blog News ~ November 1, 2011

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Just The Facts

Well, myself and Stewart Best had recorded a ‘warning’ audio and placed it on Stewart’s website as an Emergency Update, indicating that it was possible that Israel might be prepared to launch an attack on Iran around Oct. 26 and/or Oct. 27…? This was reported from a U.S. source and a source in Israel, however; at the same time during the recorded message I pointed out this was not confirmed but source data only..! The attack did not happen ~ That is clear…………

DEBKAfile Report for Nov. 1, 2011: FRENZY OF RUMORS IN ISRAEL OF AN IMMINENT ATTACK ON IRAN ? Rumors triggered by report of attack on Iran before winter gave sleepless nights to many in Israel as the thought of over 100,000 Syrian, Hizballah, and Hamas rockets awaiting for Israel when the attack began ? And the lingering question: WHAT IS THE GAME PLAN ? {debka}

DEBKAfile Report for Nov. 1, 2011: NATO SQUEEZES ASSAD & A SYRIAN URANIUM ENRICHMENT PLANT DISCOVERED ~ Disclosure Nov. 1, 2011: IAEA REPORT: Factory built in 2003 in Syrian town of Hasaka brings more pressure on Assad……….

[aerial photo Hasaka Plant, Syria]

And at the same time as the above rumors have been filtering thru intelligence agencies, Hamas in Gaza have been firing multiple missile & rockets into Israel for 3 days with the Ynetnews Israel headlines: CODE RED ALERT sounds in Southern Israel, with reports of Gaza fired projectiles landing near Beersheba, outskirts of Ashkelon, Sderot………………… and this continues………

[mona lisa EBE, William Rutledge]

I recently completed a new audio file with GeorgeAnn Hughes entitled: “Chit-Chat’ mp3 which can be downloaded from The Byte Show and in this discussion with GeorgeAnn I mentioned the ‘Mona Lisa’ entity reportedly found in crashed ancient ship on the moon, as per William Rutledge information & other data…? Someone emailed me about how we discussed a photo GeorgeAnn now had of this mona lisa EBE…? So, here [photo image above] is that photo of discussion. According to Rutledge this being was brought back to Earth by the joint [secret] U.S.-Russian moon mission and is ALIVE today….? Italian researcher, Luca Scantamburlo, included this data in his book [english] that is titled: APOLLO 20 – THE DISCLOSURE {Moon: A Joint US and Soviet Space Mission on the Dark Side? This research book is available from Amazon in Italian and in English language …………….

[ancient cave drawing]

Darnette Taylor recently completed a new audio file with GeorgeAnn Hughes entitled: “Choctaw Genesis” mp3 on The Byte Show and in this discussion was Native American Legends about very large/giant snakes in the times of the end ~ see ancient cave drawing [above] of such a creature….? You can email Darnette Taylor at: …………….

Barry Roffman has many Torah Code Matrix Research Projects on the “unusual” subjects of the planet Earth and Mars too! You can view this research & data at Barry’s website and will looking at some research reports, found an unusual one entitled: REMOTE VIEWING & QUANTUM TUNNELING by Barry Roffman found at the link …………….

AND, last but certainly not least, L.A. Marzulli’s Blog which will daily reveal commentary & analysis of the FAR OUT…? Great site for world events and the bizarre ~ check it daily………! WATCH for coming WATCHERS 3 DVD..! L.A. Marzulli website ………

Thanks for listening,

Larry W. Taylor


Larry’s BLOG


Larry Taylor Blog News ~ November 1, 2011


Wall Street and Government Filled With Psychopaths

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by Elaine Meinel Supkis

The EU confederation crisis is in the news a great deal with interests me because just three years ago, the euro was the strongest currency on earth and Europeans were celebrating being the collective #1 economy on earth.  It still is!  But is in collapse exactly for the same reasons the US and Japan are also collapsing: the credit bubble coupled with wild derivative trading on Wall Street and London as well as the bank havens like Switzerland, etc.  This, in turn, is pulling down governments.  Japan reels from the effects with no Prime Minister lasting even a few months, now.

First, a funky news story from England which is supposedly one of the most sophisticated banking/stockmarket centers on earth.  Seems that with this reputation, the average British reporter is clueless?  Here is one hilarious story showing some serious naivety:  Trader Alessio Rastani To BBC: ‘Governments Don’t Rule The World, Goldman Sachs Rules The World’:

But the crash will be good news for traders, Rastani told the stunned BBC anchors. “For most traders we don’t really care about having a fixed economy, having a fixed situation, our job is to make money from it,” he said. “Personally, I’ve been dreaming of this moment for three years. I go to bed every night and I dream of another recession. When the market crashes… if you know what to do, if you have the right plan set up, you can make a lot of money from this.”

Good lord!  I thought everyone who has the slightest ability to figure out the obvious would have noticed that when things go bad, speculators usually exploit this and get richer except when governments are overthrown in revolutions and coups and their money and assets are confiscated.  The ‘stunned’ BBC drones probably were surprised someone would tell the truth.

The fact of the matter is, England and the US are both run by psychopaths who get richer and richer if they drive the governments into bankruptcy while manipulating markets to make themselves richer!  They spend billions of dollars in bribes and schemes with anyone the voters try to put into power in order to corrupt these politicians and then use them to make the rich, richer.  These speculators who run America and England have nearly totally destroyed both.

They did this by insuring there is no way the systems can run properly.  Tax revenues will never, ever balance due to them demanding higher tax cuts every time things improve.  The ‘right plan’ is to prevent these governments from ever being solvent while collecting the debts and using this as leverage to control the government and direct it towards doing things that benefit only the speculators who have infinite greed.

So, the main ‘plan’ isn’t some market strategy.  It is simple: make rules and run schemes that are not stopped by regulators that will make money appear magically while DOING NOTHING USEFUL.  See, the entire Derivatives Beast is all about useless machinations designed to cover up the fact, the speculators no longer are using real capital when making deals.  This is what should be illegal, short selling, is legalized.  They paid the politicians to not regulate short sales.

Speculating in commodity futures also is run the same dishonest way: no money down, place your bets for free!  No capital involved.  Just future games for fun.  And only recently did the governments dare to stop this scam due to hyperinflation in commodities that were causing rising revolts of the peasants who are not speculators.

In the German news is this story:  Going Rogue: Share Traders More Reckless Than Psychopaths, Study Shows – SPIEGEL ONLINE

According to a new study at the University of St. Gallen seen by SPIEGEL, one contributing factor may be that stockbrokers’ behavior is more reckless and manipulative than that of psychopaths…Particularly shocking for Noll was the fact that the bankers weren’t aiming for higher winnings than their comparison group. Instead they were more interested in achieving a competitive advantage. Instead of taking a sober and businesslike approach to reaching the highest profit, “it was most important to the traders to get more than their opponents,” Noll explained. “And they spent a lot of energy trying to damage their opponents.”

Using a metaphor to describe the behavior, Noll said the stockbrokers behaved as though their neighbor had the same car, “and they took after it with a baseball bat so they could look better themselves.”

The researchers were unable to explain this penchant for destruction, they said.

A common mistake of many people trying to analyze speculative bankers and their employees is to assume all of them are buddies and conspire together.  They DO conspire…to rig up rules and wreck regulations so they can pretty much do whatever pops into their gnomish brains.  They want no controls or things that slow down their ‘deals’ because, just like three card Monty, speed of hand movements is how they fool people and double deal everyone.

Things are as fast as the speed of light, nay, faster.  For they now anticipate things and use computers to automatically do this and this irritating ‘flickering’ of stocks has undermined world stock markets and constantly threatens the entire system with collapse as we have seen several times recently.  And are extremely lucrative with zero real personal labor or thinking involved, once it starts, it runs basically on its own.

I, personally, know computer programmers who designed this system for the psychopaths who wanted to exploit it.  It is not the fault of the programmers, they are computer geeks who want money.  The psychopaths using them, on the other hand, know that their system is fake wealth and is also dangerous and stupid but they can’t resist using it because it makes money with no sweat or employees involved on the floor of the exchanges anymore.  It is a labor saving scheme but a dangerous and stupid one.

Since we are discussing psychopaths, what they all do is also pass hot potatoes around and hope to palm off onto each other, bad deals.  They lie to each other, steal each other’s ideas and employees, the betray each other and they will deliberately destroy entire industries if this means a hated rival will go bankrupt.  This was true very much so during the Robber Baron years which is, fatefully, identical to this cycle.  And that ended in WWI and worker uprisings especially the communist takeover of Russia.

Regulating things to prevent a host of demented, evil robber barons from wrecking everything they build is what governments must do.  And have failed.  The reforms set into motion during the Robber Baron years before WWI were short circuited by the top robber barons in a secret deal to create the Federal Reserve.  It was supposed to protect the value of the dollar.  It failed, utterly.  Inflation swallows raises in the Washington area – The Washington Post

For the first time since 1979, the increase in salaries in the Washington area was less than the rate of inflation. Wages as a whole for metropolitan Washington rose just 0.04 percent in 2011, a new salary survey found. The rate of inflation in the region shot up to 4.1 percent in July (the latest month for which the figure is available) compared to a year ago.

So, inflation is over 4%?  Inflation in fuel and food in the last 10 years has been well over 100%.  Things we need to survive now cost literally more than twice as much compared to 2001.  But Social Security has gone up less than 20%.  This is one of many reasons why the economy is collapsing.  People are poorer, thanks to inflation.  The hyper-psycho gnomes of Wall Street saw their incomes grow by much more than 150% in the same decade so they are happy campers indeed.  They are richer and we are poorer and this is why there are demonstrators being beaten mercilessly by brutal cops protecting billionaires this very week.

The bail out of Europe grows ever dearer:  The €2 trillion fund to save the euro

This was bolstered (last year) by $60bn (£38.9bn) from the European Financial Stabilisation Mechanism and $250bn from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Wind the clock forward and the sums talked about at the IMF in Washington over the weekend were almost three times that amount. After months of prevarication and political buck-passing European leaders have woken up to the fact that more money, action and structural change is required if the euro is to survive.

The traders said, Goldman Sachs is OK with all of this because they are shorting Europe, basically, and placing bets on defaults being bailed out by governments…some of which they totally control.  Geithner is Goldman Sachs, after all, and he is supposedly ‘fixing’ Europe but he isn’t.  He is fixing it so that Goldman Sachs gets richer and Germany loses all of its sovereign wealth.

Now, the US and NATO bombed Libya to oblivion when Libya was one of the top 20 sovereign wealth nations with money parked in US and UK and EU banks.  These have now seized the money and are using it as personal capital.  So it will be with Germany, the world’s #2 sovereign wealth nation: all of that will be transferred to the central banks and they will, in turn, pass it on to international speculators and lenders.  Who will then use this as capital assets.

Germany will be much poorer and in a worse trade position and offshore bankers will be even richer so there is very serious German turmoil over EU bail-outs as top judge calls for referendum – Telegraph

“The sovereignty of the German state is inviolate and anchored in perpetuity by basic law. It may not be abandoned by the legislature (even with its powers to amend the constitution),” he said.

“There is little leeway left for giving up core powers to the EU. If one wants to go beyond this limit – which might be politically legitimate and desirable – then Germany must give itself a new constitution. A referendum would be necessary. This cannot be done without the people,” he told newspaper Frankfurter Allgemeine.

Unlike most ‘economic discussion’ sites online, I seem nearly alone, talking about sovereignty and what this means.  The US has nearly totally surrendered its sovereignty to Israel, for example. Israel wields ever greater power over our government via AIPAC’s bribes.  German sovereignty isn’t some toy or thing to hand off to aliens for no reason.  There is a fierce obligation to protect the sovereignty of the state and this emphatically includes repelling invaders, something Libya is unable to do.

This is why disarming oneself while relying on alien allies to do all the fighting to protect one’s sovereignty is foolish.  Both Japan and Germany fell into this trap, hoping the US would protect their sovereignty.  Well, this is obviously not working.  The Iceland people discovered, the more entangled with foreigners they became, the less power they had for themselves.  They pulled back from the EU at the last minute and barely survived.  Poverty certainly grew much worse as the kroner fell 80% in value.

Two countries that are hyper vigilant about sovereignty are these guys, the ‘enemies’ of NATO:

Russia, China and Iran are considering a Joint Missile Shield directed against the US and NATO | Pakalert Press

The report, which was published in the Iranian daily newspaper Kayhan on Sunday, said that the sources cited two reasons why serious consultations have been held on the initiative.
First, all three states have come to the conclusion that U.S. officials’ assertion that their concern over the alleged missile and nuclear capabilities of Iran and North Korea is the reason for the decision to establish a NATO missile defense shield is just a pretext and the true objective of the shield is to threaten Russia and China.

In addition, now that the proposal to establish an early warning radar system in southeast Turkey, which is one component of the NATO missile defense shield, appears to be a done deal, the U.S. is now planning to establish other components of the new system in South Korea and Taiwan, which clearly shows that Washington is using the alleged threat from Iran and North Korea as a pretext to target China and Russia.

The US continues, despite being royally wrecked by hyperactive psychopathic gnomes, is spending a fortune trying to surround Russia and China with missile bases, assassin drones and radar systems.  This is all in preparation for WWIII, I am assuming.  Turkey is allowing a US monitoring station but only when the US promised to give them their own assassin missile drone robots for killing pesky people.  And, if we imagine for one minute, that Russia and China can’t copy us in this matter, that is pure nuts.  They can and they will.

Our entire planet will now see not a one-sided assassin robot war, but rather, a multi-sided war of the killer robots all of which will be programmed by computers to automatically hunt down and murder a host of pesky people.  This is why this amoral war must end and the President should stop listening to crazy psychopathic gnomes and military orcs and instead, become open, honorable and above all, CAREFUL, not crazy.

Talking about crazy, in times of contraction, all sovereign nations MUST protect their own people, not destroy them.  The citizens of England, like in the US, have been forced to compete with cheaper foreign labor in all job markets and recently in England, 90% of all new jobs this last year went to aliens.  Finally, Labour admits ‘got it wrong’ on immigration, says Ed Miliband – Telegraph

The Labour leader insisted that the party had not set out to mislead the public over immigration but that the party’s policies had “effects on people right up and down the country” and that not enough was done to protect British workers.  Mr Miliband made the admission in an interview on the first day of Labour’s annual conference in Liverpool during which the party is under pressure to admit to mistakes made during its time in Government…

…In another interview, he said: “I think we did introduce, we did allow the entry of Poland into the free movement of labour too quickly, and that clearly had effects on people right up and down the country. We’ve clearly got to learn those lessons for the future when it comes to future accession…if you have a more open economy in Europe, you’ve got to put in the right protection for people, for workers.”
The previous Labour Government allowed virtually unchecked immigration from eastern Europe to Britain.

Millibrand is the son of immigrants from Poland and escapees of the Nazi madness.  Yes, Hitler was pure evil.  He indulged in ethnic cleansing, killing citizens of his own country in his madness.  This is utterly different from real ‘sovereignty’.  Everyone who is a citizen is a part of the sovereign nation and should be protected by the same laws and in general, protected.  Opening the borders to aliens while there are few or no new jobs is anti-sovereign.

The liberals have hurt themselves nearly fatally in the US and UK by supporting legal and illegal immigrants over native citizens.  Perry’s run for the White House has been basically terminated due to him supporting illegal alien children getting state scholarships worth $10,000 each while students who are Americans from say, Oklahoma, have to pay full tuition if they go to school in Texas.  As one person pointed out, this punishes Americans and encourages illegal aliens to cross over for a free education.

This is HIGHLY unpopular especially when Congress is talking about cutting services to Americans.  Very highly unpopular and it is an issue that will sink Obama, too, in the long run.  It has to be faced.  All nations much protect and promote their citizens, first, no ifs, ands or buts about this.  Sovereignty is valuable.  It is POWER and the people of Germany are now going to demand the right to exercise their own sovereign rights in the matter of bailing out all of Europe.



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Make checks out to ‘Elaine Supkis’

Wall Street And Government Filled With Psychopaths

[Culture of Life News]

Worldwide Global Earthquake and Volcano Update and Overview

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Pressure is building on the north American plate beyond the rocky mountain continental divide. As far north as the Cascadia range in the Pacific Northwest, south east to Yellowstone, then further south east to Georgia, up north to Montreal / New York …

The threat of a new madrid earthquake , in my opinion, goes up ANOTHER notch, with the signs of more activity in the north east, extending along the faults down to Arkansas.

The pressure buildup is extending across the atlantic to the mid-Atlantic ridge, and now showing signs of stress on BOTH sides of the european plate.. the european plate is showing signs of “uptick” in activity.. as far north as south belgium, east towards Poland and south to the mediterranean sea.

Expect anywhere along a plate boundry and anwhere there are active volcanos to experience 5.0 quakes and greater for the next 2 weeks or more.

Also areas where DORMANT volcanos exist .. such as greenbrier Arkansas, Mono Lake California, off the coast of seattle, south belgium / west germany…

Asia, the threat extends from the India Russia border (central india) south east to australia, and bending around the australian continent down to the south pole, right through new zealand, and branching north up to the hot spot of japan.

Japan still is due for a VERY large quake.. in the 8.0+ range within the next 2 weeks.


Post glacial rebound effect:

check out scott from believers underground who first proposed this theory to us here on youtube.. he is correct about the effects of PGRE.

No quakes in Australia.. hmm

Worldwide Global Earthquake And Volcano Update And Overview (05/09/2011) – Pressure Buildup On The North American Plate, Yellowstone & Pacific Northwest Earthquake Activity & Magma Movement

[Infinite Unknown]

Is a Rogue Computer Virus Shutting Down Nuclear Plants Worldwide?

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It is now common knowledge that the U.S. and Israel developed the Stuxnet computer virus in order to slow down Iran’s nuclear program.

As the New York Times noted in January:

Over the past two years, according to intelligence and military experts familiar with its operations, Dimona has taken on a new, equally secret role — as a critical testing ground in a joint American and Israeli effort to undermine Iran’s efforts to make a bomb of its own.

Behind Dimona’s barbed wire, the experts say, Israel has spun nuclear centrifuges virtually identical to Iran’s at Natanz, where Iranian scientists are struggling to enrich uranium. They say Dimona tested the effectiveness of the Stuxnet computer worm, a destructive program that appears to have wiped out roughly a fifth of Iran’s nuclear centrifuges and helped delay, though not destroy, Tehran’s ability to make its first nuclear arms.

“To check out the worm, you have to know the machines,” said an American expert on nuclear intelligence. “The reason the worm has been effective is that the Israelis tried it out.”

Though American and Israeli officials refuse to talk publicly about what goes on at Dimona, the operations there, as well as related efforts in the United States, are among the newest and strongest clues suggesting that the virus was designed as an American-Israeli project to sabotage the Iranian program.

Officially, neither American nor Israeli officials will even utter the name of the malicious computer program, much less describe any role in designing it.

But Israeli officials grin widely when asked about its effects. Mr. Obama’s chief strategist for combating weapons of mass destruction, Gary Samore, sidestepped a Stuxnet question at a recent conference about Iran, but added with a smile: “I’m glad to hear they are having troubles with their centrifuge machines, and the U.S. and its allies are doing everything we can to make it more complicated.” By the accounts of a number of computer scientists, nuclear enrichment experts and former officials, the covert race to create Stuxnet was a joint project between the Americans and the Israelis, with some help, knowing or unknowing, from the Germans and the British.

And the Telegraph noted last month:

A showreel played at a retirement party for the head of the Israeli Defence Forces has strengthened claims the country’s security forces were responsible for a cyber attack on the Iranian nuclear programme.

The video of Lieutenant General Gabi Ashkenazi’s operational successes included references to Stuxnet, a computer virus that disrupted the Natanz nuclear enrichment site last year, Ha’aretz reported.

Although Israel has not officially accepted responsibility for the Stuxnet attack, evidence of its role has been mounting since it was first discovered last July.

Attributing the source of cyber attacks in notoriously difficult, but security researchers say factors including complexity of the operation, which would have required human sources inside the Iranian nuclear programme, point strongly to the Israeli security forces.

As PC World pointed out last November.

The sophisticated Stuxnet is a “game changer” for companies and governments looking to protect their networks, said Sean McGurk, acting director of the National Cybersecurity and Communications Integration Center in the U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

As of last week, there were still about 44,000 computers infected with Stuxnet worldwide, with about 60 percent of them in Iran, said Dean Turner, director of Symantec’s Global Intelligence Network. About 1,600 of the current infections are in the U.S., he said.

“Stuxnet demonstrates that industrial control systems are more vulnerable to cyberattacks than in the past for several reasons, including their increased connectivity to other systems and the Internet,” he said. “Further, as demonstrated by past attacks and incidents involving industrial control systems, the impact on a critical infrastructure could be substantial.”

Indeed, one of the computer experts quoted by the New York Times, German cyber-security expert Ralph Langner, noted in a Ted talk last month that Stuxnet could be used to attack Western nuclear power plants and other types of automated plants:

As Israel National News writes today:

[Langner] went on to describe the risk that Stuxnet could be used to blow up power plants:
“The idea here is not only to fool the operators in the control room. It actually is much more dangerous and aggressive. The idea here is to circumvent a digital safety system…. when they are compromised, then real bad things can happen. Your plant can blow up and and neither your operators nor your safety system will notice it. That’s scary. But it gets worse – and this is very important, what I am going to say. Think about this: this attack is generic. It doesn’t have anything to do with specifics with centrifuges, with uranium enrichment. So it would work as well, for example in a power plant or in an automobile factory. It is generic. And as an attacker you don’t have to deliver this payload by a USB stick, as we saw it in the case of Stuxnet. You could also use conventional worm technology for spreading. Just spread it as wide as possible. And if you do that, what you end up with is a cyberweapon of mass destruction.”
“That’s the consequence that we have to face,” he said, deliberately, while showing a map that marked Western countries (Israel not included) in green. “So unfortunately, the biggest number of targets for such attacks are not in the Middle East. They are in the United States, in Europe and in Japan. So all the green areas, these are your target-rich environments. We have to face the consquences and we better start to prepare right now.”

It seems possible that he thinks Israel could use the worm against Western targets. Why the German consultant thinks Israel would want to do this, one can only speculate.

In a correspondence with cyber-security firm Symantec some six months ago, Langner named a “hacker underground” as the possible threat:

“You fail to understand that the hacker underground has been studying control systems for years without any success. You fail to understand that this community will eagerly dismantle Stuxnet as a blueprint for how to cyber-attack installations from the cookie plant next door to power plants.”

The New York Times recently reported that the Stuxnet virus could possibly still be infecting Iranian systems and that it may unleash additional havoc on new targets.

Has Stuxnet Already Caused Damage Outside Of Iran?

Since the Japanese earthquake, Michael Rivero has posted hundreds of articles arguing that the Stuxnet virus has “gotten loose” and attacked other nuclear power plants outside of Iran.

The former editor of the Japan Times – Yoichi Shimatsu – writes:

Tepco engineers suggested that the electric power inside the plant was knocked out by something other than the tsunami. I have pointed to this possibility early on, that the quake and control disruptions could have made the control computers vulnerable to the Stuxnet virus.

According to Yomiuri, Stuxnet was in Japan as of October of 2010. However, I find it hard to believe that it was not the massive earthquake and the enormous tsunami which knocked out the power (although I suppose a virus could have exacerbated the damage).

There have been a lot of strange stories about unexplained nuclear power plant shutdowns. For example, as Fox News reported last week:

A nuclear reactor at Plant Vogtle in eastern Georgia has been taken out of service until authorities determine why it unexpectedly shut down.

I have no idea whether or not the shutdowns were caused by Stuxnet accidentally spreading to other reactors, instead of just hitting its intended target: Iran.

But at the very least, the virus created by the U.S. and Israel to slow down Iran’s nuclear program has opened a “Pandora’s box” which leaves our nuclear plants and other sensitive facilities open to attacks by hostile governments or rogue hackers.

Is a Rogue Computer Virus Shutting Down Nuclear Plants Worldwide?

[Washington’s Blog]

Written by testudoetlepus

April 27th, 2011 at 9:40 pm

The Ill Winds

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“A Great Wind Is Blowing, and That Gives You Either Imagination or a Headache.”
– Catherine the Great

The wind in greater detail here.

Dr. Jeff Masters’ WunderBlog

Radiation From Japan Not Likely To Harm North America

Posted by: JeffMasters, 12:53 PM GMT on March 14, 2011

Radiation from Japan’s stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant has been detected 100 miles to the northeast, over the Pacific Ocean, by the U.S. military. Westerly to southwesterly winds have predominated over Japan the past few days, carrying most of the radiation eastwards out to sea. The latest forecast for Sendai, Japan, located about 40 miles north of the Fukushima nuclear plant, calls for winds with a westerly component to dominate for the remainder of the week, with the exception of a 6-hour period on Tuesday. Thus, any radiation released by the nuclear plant will primarily affect Japan or blow out to sea. A good tool to predict the radiation cloud’s path is NOAA’s HYSPLIT trajectory model. The model uses the GFS model’s winds to track the movement of a hypothetical release of a substance into the atmosphere. One can specify the altitude of the release as well as the location, and follow the trajectory for up to two weeks. However, given the highly chaotic nature of the atmosphere’s winds, trajectories beyond about 3 days have huge uncertainties.One can get only a general idea of where a plume is headed beyond 3 days. I’ve been performing a number of runs of HYSPLIT over past few days, and so far great majority of these runs have taken plumes of radioactivity emitted from Japan’s east coast eastwards over the Pacific, with the plumes staying over water for at least 5 days. Some of the plumes move over eastern Siberia, Alaska, Canada, the U.S., and Mexico in 5 – 7 days. Such a long time spent over water will mean that the vast majority of the radioactive particles will settle out of the atmosphere or get caught up in precipitation and rained out. It is highly unlikely that any radiation capable of causing harm to people will be left in atmosphere after seven days and 2000+ miles of travel distance. Even the Chernobyl nuclear disaster, which had a far more serious release of radioactivity, was unable to spread significant contamination more than about 1000 miles.

Figure 1. Forecast 7-day movement of a plume of radioactive plume of air emitted at 12 UTC Saturday, March 12, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Radioactivity emitted at 2 levels is tracked: 100 meters (red) and 300 meters (blue). Images created using NOAA’s HYSPLIT trajectory model.

Figure 2. Forecast 7-day movement of a plume of radioactive plume of air emitted at 12 UTC Sunday, March 13, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Radioactivity emitted at 2 levels is tracked: 100 meters (red) and 300 meters (blue). Images created using NOAA’s HYSPLIT trajectory model

Figure 3. Forecast 7-day movement of a plume of radioactive plume of air emitted at 12 UTC Monday, March 14, 2011 from the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant. Radioactivity emitted at 2 levels is tracked: 100 meters (red) and 300 meters (blue). Images created using NOAA’s HYSPLIT trajectory model. I’ll have an update Tuesday morning.

Jeff Masters

Weather Underground / Jeff Master’s Blog

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